Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| C. Houston | 27 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 25 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - |
| N. Sanford | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| A. Riley | 15 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Dupree | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pedersen | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Johnson | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| I. Latta | 23 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 17 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter