Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +13 (98-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 39 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| April Sykes | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 38 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 24 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter