Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +33 (92-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 21 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Coco Miller | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| April Sykes | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 25 | 11-18 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter