Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +42 (97-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essence Carson * | 30 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -3 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Hightower * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 20 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 17 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chay Shegog | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter