Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.9% | 6.1% | -15.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -18 (60-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 28 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Whalen | 25 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 20 | - |
| M. Moore | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Wright | 21 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Brunson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Harris | 16 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Thorn | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Adair | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 30 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Houston | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Riley | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter