Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 35 | 12-22 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 38 | - |
| A. Beard | 34 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Miller | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Sykes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 35 | 8-26 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| K. Lawson | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Jones | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Hightower | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. White | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. McCray | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Greene | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter