Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -6 (81-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 12-22 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 34 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| April Sykes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 8-26 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 25 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter