Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +21 (87-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carr * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Nicholas * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T. Riley * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Douglas | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Cason | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 17 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Bailey | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Mossman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Williams * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Cody Doolin * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rashad Green * | 24 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Angelo Caloiaro * | 21 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Perris Blackwell * | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Cole Dickerson | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Hoffmann | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Adams | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Raffington | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Khalil Murphy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jay Wey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter