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Florida State Seminoles 63
@
Virginia Cavaliers 60
2012-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - ✗
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 ✗ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Snaer * 33 5-11 0-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 12 8 -
Xavier Gibson * 29 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 5 12 6 -
Bernard James * 27 3-5 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 7 9 -
Luke Loucks * 25 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 3 1 2 -
Deividas Dulkys * 23 1-4 1-3 2-2 5 1 2 2 2 5 9 -
Ian Miller 28 6-10 5-8 1-1 3 2 2 0 2 18 13 -
Jeff Peterson 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Okaro White 11 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jon Kreft 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Antwan Space 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski * 39 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 3 1 4 8 2 -
M. Scott * 38 9-15 0-0 10-11 10 1 1 1 3 28 23 -
J. Evans * 37 4-8 0-0 2-3 1 4 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Harris * 35 2-8 2-3 3-4 1 5 1 1 5 9 4 -
A. Mitchell * 29 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
D. Atkins 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
P. Jesperson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter