Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +19 (92-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 38 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 35 | 7-24 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 34 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Koehn | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Lawson | 31 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| T. Charles | 28 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Hightower | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. McCray | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Greene | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Griffin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter