Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +4.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +19 (92-73). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 37 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 35 | 7-24 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 34 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 28 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter