Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +16 (90-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Houston | 28 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Riley | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 37 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - |
| C. Parker | 36 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 32 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Toliver | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Miller | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Sykes | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lavender | 11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter