Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +18.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +16 (90-74). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 28 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 37 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Coco Miller | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| April Sykes | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter