Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| I. Latta | 30 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 29 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 17 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 12 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Black | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Morris | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 35 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Sanford | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Riley | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter