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2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +31 (92-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nicholls Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Linden Smith-Hyde * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 11 -
Sam McBeath * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 3 8 -
Chris Talkington * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 9 14 -
Schane Rillieux * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 10 8 -
Jeremy Smith * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 3 4 -
Trevon Lewis 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 4 2 3 16 30 -
Bryan Hammond 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -1 -
Sterling Bailey 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Bryson Triggs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Zachary West 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Mosley * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 2 2 20 30 -
Louis Ellis * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 17 20 -
Gary Roberson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 9 14 -
Shamir Davis * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 12 19 -
Marvin Frazier * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 3 10 -
Patrick Robinson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
Gary Stewart 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 4 8 -
James Hulbin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 1 7 16 -
O.J. Evans 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 9 17 -
Tyler Washington 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 3 9 -
John Brisco 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
David Ulak 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter