Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -13 (72-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Moore | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Wright | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Adair | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Peters | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Thorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tina Charles | 31 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| K. Lawson | 29 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Greene | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. McCray | 19 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Hightower | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Bass | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. White | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter