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2012-06-01

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ“ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivory Latta * 31 2-12 0-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 1 -
Temeka Johnson * 25 3-10 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 9 1 -
Scholanda Dorrell * 18 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
Kayla Pedersen * 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
Chante Black * 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jennifer Lacy 25 4-8 2-3 2-5 5 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
Riquna Williams 20 3-11 2-5 3-4 2 3 0 1 1 11 5 -
Glory Johnson 20 1-4 0-0 3-3 6 0 2 1 0 5 10 -
Jene Morris 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Lynetta Kizer 9 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 1 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 33 9-15 5-7 4-4 3 3 0 0 1 27 17 -
Tanisha Wright * 29 1-5 0-1 0-2 4 4 1 1 1 2 6 -
Camille Smith * 29 4-8 1-2 10-12 9 2 0 0 2 19 20 -
Katie Smith * 28 1-7 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 0 4 1 -
Ann Wauters * 23 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Shekinna Stricklen 23 3-9 0-4 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 6 4 -
Tina Thompson 15 2-5 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
Ewelina Kobryn 11 2-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 0 7 11 -
Alysha Clark 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter