๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Gabriel * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 3 10 18 -
Frankie Sullivan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 2 9 16 -
Josh Wallace * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Noel Johnson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 9 10 -
Rob Chubb * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 4 13 -
Chris Denson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
Willy Kouassi 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 4 11 -
Tony Neysmith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Adrian Forbes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JaMychal Green * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 15 26 -
Levi Randolph * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 7 15 -
Andrew Steele * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 9 -
Trevor Releford * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 6 10 -
Rodney Cooper * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 7 11 -
Trevor Lacey 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 10 13 -
Nick Jacobs 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Ben Eblen 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 1 4 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Moussa Gueye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Carl Engstrom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter