Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Parker | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brothers * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 34 | - |
| C. Lindsay * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Garrett * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| F. Martel * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Robbins | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| K. Anthony | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| J. Duinker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter