Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +30 (86-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Todd Fletcher | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Green | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Max Yon | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Colt Barnhill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gordon | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Kendall Williams | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Tony Snell | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chad Adams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chris Perez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter