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2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 73.1% 26.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deshaun Thomas * 40 8-15 2-5 1-1 10 2 1 0 1 19 16 -
Aaron Craft * 40 5-7 4-5 0-0 2 2 4 2 4 14 13 -
Jared Sullinger * 37 8-15 0-0 6-8 18 3 0 2 4 22 26 -
L. Smith Jr. * 33 4-8 0-3 4-6 3 7 0 0 2 12 12 -
William Buford * 27 3-10 0-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
Sam Thompson 16 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Shannon Scott 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Evan Ravenel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Shurna * 39 7-19 4-10 4-4 3 3 0 0 0 22 9 -
Dave Sobolewski * 34 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 5 5 -
Reggie Hearn * 31 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 9 7 -
Drew Crawford * 27 9-11 4-6 1-5 4 3 1 0 0 23 20 -
JerShon Cobb * 25 1-3 1-2 3-4 3 1 2 1 2 6 8 -
Davide Curletti 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
Alex Marcotullio 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 1 1 6 5 -
Nick Fruendt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter