Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| X. Thames | 35 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Franklin | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Rahon | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Franklin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Green | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic | 32 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 30 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Westly Perryman | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter