Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| X. Thames | 35 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Franklin | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Rahon | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Franklin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Green | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic | 32 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Marks | 30 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Buckner | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Nichols | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Perryman | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Watkins | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Hanstad | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Crayton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter