Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rod Days | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Jackson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Wesley Witherspoon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Tarik Black * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Antonio Barton * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Stephens | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Hippolyte Tsafack | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stan Simpson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Holt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Preston Laird | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trey Draper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter