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2012-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Weber State Wildcats Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Weber State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 19 24 -
Scott Bamforth * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 9 11 -
Darin Mahoney * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 1 4 16 -
Kyle Bullinger * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 8 -
Kyle Tresnak * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 9 13 -
Byron Fulton 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Gelaun Wheelwright 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Frank Otis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Jordan Richardson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mathias Ward * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 15 20 -
Will Cherry * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 3 23 28 -
Art Steward * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 1 1 4 16 -
Kareem Jamar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 5 17 22 -
Derek Selvig * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
Michael Weisner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 1 4 11 -
Shawn Stockton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Eric Hutchison 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter