Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 28 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Trice | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watford * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Hulls * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Will Sheehey * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Verdell Jones | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Matt Roth | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tom Pritchard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Derek Elston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Remy Abell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter