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2012-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 36 10-17 3-6 6-7 8 2 2 0 6 29 18 -
K. Appling * 32 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 5 1 0 3 6 4 -
A. Thornton * 28 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
B. Dawson * 20 1-3 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Payne * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
D. Nix 26 2-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
B. Wood 25 0-5 0-1 0-2 7 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Kearney 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Trice II 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Gauna 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Byrd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Watford * 33 4-11 2-4 0-0 14 1 2 1 0 10 17 -
C. Zeller * 32 7-12 0-0 4-5 4 1 2 1 1 18 13 -
J. Hulls * 30 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 10 9 -
V. Oladipo * 29 3-6 0-0 7-8 3 0 2 0 3 13 9 -
W. Sheehey * 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
V. Jones III 24 3-5 0-0 6-7 4 2 1 0 1 12 13 -
M. Roth 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Pritchard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elston 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Abell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter