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2012-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 0.6% 99.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +35.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +32 (92-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Washington * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 6 9 -
J. van der Kooij * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 8 16 -
A. Carter * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 3 19 25 -
T. Carey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 16 19 -
A. Taylor * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 6 4 6 -
J. Havenstein 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
S. Shockley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 5 8 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marquise Carter * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 3 13 20 -
Kevin Pangos * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 12 17 -
Robert Sacre * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 5 11 -
Guy Edi * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Elias Harris * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 10 -
David Stockton 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 2 0 2 7 14 -
Ryan Spangler 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 12 22 -
Mathis Monninghoff 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
Sam Dower 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 11 -
G. Bell Jr. 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 20 24 -
Mathis Keita 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 8 17 -
Mike Hart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter