Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| D. Marble * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Aaron White * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Josh Oglesby * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric May | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Leonard | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 37 | - |
| B. Paul | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter