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2012-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 22 23 -
D. Marble * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 4 0 6 10 17 -
A. White * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 8 10 -
J. Oglesby * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
Z. McCabe * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 4 12 -
M. Basabe 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 1 4 -
B. Cartwright 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
E. May 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Olaseni 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Brommer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 12 9 -
T. Griffey * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 2 9 -
T. Abrams * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 5 -
J. Bertrand * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
N. Egwu * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Leonard 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 2 3 22 37 -
B. Paul 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 2 4 17 21 -
S. Maniscalco 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 5 12 -
M. Henry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter