Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.6% | 4.4% | -16.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -36 (40-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Evans | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Walker | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Mathies | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Milligan | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Conwright | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 0 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -4 | - |
| P. Porter | 0 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Bett | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Grant | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter