Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.4% | 11.6% | -11.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scheer | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Selby | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 15 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shegog | 0 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| C. Wood | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. White | 0 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter