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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Youngstown State Penguins Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“

Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray McCallum * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 15 24 -
Chase Simon * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 18 26 -
Jason Calliste * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 8 7 -
LaMarcus Lowe * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 10 18 -
Doug Anderson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 10 15 -
Donavan Foster 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
Eli Holman 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 10 17 -
Evan Bruinsma 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 8 -

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Allen * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 13 17 -
Kendrick Perry * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 22 30 -
Ashen Ward * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 9 15 -
DuShawn Brooks * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
Damian Eargle * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 11 19 -
Josh Chojnacki 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
Mike Podolsky 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shawn Amiker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Nate Perry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Fletcher Larson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter