Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Douglas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Flenard Whitfield * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Demetrius Ward * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Nate Hutcheson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Pokley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shayne Whittington | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Austin Richie | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Muhammed Conteh | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dan Loney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| D. Buckley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| R. Pearson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| M. Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| R. Wonnell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Dennis | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Holliday | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Mathew | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dear | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter