Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +8 (67-59). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory White | 35 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 34 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 29 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luther Page | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Stephawn Brown | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 24 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Josh Mason | 9 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Price | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Strong | 37 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 30 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D'Angelo Scott | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Timothy Price | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Daniel King | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Patrick Onwenu | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jabari Peters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DaQuan Joyner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keithtrick Denson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter