Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 34 | 9-20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Justin Hammonds * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Green | 22 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Yon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colt Barnhill | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Moser * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 30 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter