Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +33 (76-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morgan * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| S. Carter * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| R. Putney * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Esho | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| F. Riley | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Farrell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Hill | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Player #52977 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 31 | - |
| K. Dillard * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| P. Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| J. Parker | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Hill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #53074 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #61110 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter