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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model SE Louisiana Lions Central Arkansas Bears Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Margin 57.6% 42.4% -1.7 โœ— (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—

Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SE Louisiana Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Campbell * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 7 9 11 -
Antonnio Benton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 2 0 1 16 30 -
DeShawn Patterson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 5 8 14 -
Roosevelt Johnson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 3 10 18 -
Todd Nelson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 1 -
Daron Populist 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 12 16 -
Elgin Bailey 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 3 8 15 -
Donovon Ross 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarvis Garner * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 9 20 -
Mark Rutledge * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 10 -
Joe Harris * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 9 -
Jordan Harks * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
Lenell Brown * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
LaQuentin Miles 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 13 -
Oliver Wells 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 10 16 -
Carlin Bremner 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 10 -
Dewan Clayborn 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Robert Crawford 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 5 9 -
Ryan Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 6 -
Chris Henson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Anthony Borden 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter