Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Nathan Scheer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Bizoukas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Cox * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Troy Taylor * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Denver Holmes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Colt Ryan * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Harris * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Nelson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter