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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.2% 94.8% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +24.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +31 (80-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Cook * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 12 15 -
Brian Neller * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 15 18 -
Chase Plummer * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 4 8 14 -
Player #56945 * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jake Wasco * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Player #56944 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
Will Wise 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 2 8 -
Chandler Thomas 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 10 -
Jamar Wertz 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jordan Wejnert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Adrian Satchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Quentin Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 6 2 0 1 5 22 -
Sandro Carissimo * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 9 17 -
Matt Glass * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 18 27 -
Brendan Bald * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 0 8 -
Pat Bergmann * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 12 14 -
Four McGlynn 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 16 22 -
Clancy Rugg 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 9 13 -
Josh Elbaum 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Luke Apfeld 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 2 4 -
Ben Crenca 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
Ryan McKeaney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Santo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 1 7 -

* = starter