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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Margin 80.1% 19.9% -7.7 โœ“ (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 80.8% 19.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Hummer * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 11 21 -
Doug Davis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 9 13 -
Brendan Connolly * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 4 2 11 21 -
T.J. Bray * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 0 8 -
Patrick Saunders * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 14 18 -
Denton Koon 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 13 -
Jimmy Sherburne 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 10 -
Mack Darrow 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 9 10 -
Clay Wilson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
John Comfort 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 8 14 -
Chris Clement 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Daniel Edwards 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Bobby Garbade 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brian Fabrizius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Maldunas * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 5 1 3 10 23 -
D. Rufful * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Brooks * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Trotter * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
K. Crecco * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
J. Golden 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 21 24 -
T. Melville 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 10 8 -
R.J. Griffin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. McKearney 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
K. Savolainen 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. LaBove 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
W. McConnell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -

* = starter