Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -14 (61-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Jackson * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 35 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 27 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| John Hart | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Neal Beshears | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Novak * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Colton Christian | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Bartelstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Person | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter