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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ—
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 โœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - โœ—

Actual: Harvard Crimson -1 (54-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 8 10 -
Zack Rosen * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 20 22 -
Rob Belcore * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 4 1 1 5 14 -
Steve Rennard * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Henry Brooks * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 6 7 -
Tyler Bernardini 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 4 5 -
Fran Dougherty 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 2 6 12 -
Marin Kukoc 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mike Howlett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Curry * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 1 2 5 12 -
O. McNally * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 6 13 -
K. Casey * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 5 12 17 -
K. Wright * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 9 11 -
L. Rivard * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 9 -
W. Saunders 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 13 -
C. Miller 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Moundou-Missi 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 4 6 -
C. Webster 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Travis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter