Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Mann | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 32 | 5-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Smith * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Greg Smith | 19 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Will Bell | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 14-15 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 32 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| G. Green * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Rahon | 33 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Franklin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Stephens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter