Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sanders * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 32 | - |
| R. Olander * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| C. Nickerson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Barrow * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| D. Needham * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Fields | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Wade | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Crawford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Matthews | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Glover * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | - |
| L. Jones * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Sean Armand * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Scott Machado * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Taaj Ridley * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Randy Dezouvre | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jermel Jenkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ra'Shad James | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Smyth | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter