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2012-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Margin 79.7% 20.3% -7.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -3 (54-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zack Rosen * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 27 29 -
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 11 -
Rob Belcore * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 4 0 1 14 29 -
Steve Rennard * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
Henry Brooks * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 8 13 -
Fran Dougherty 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 0 2 -
Tyler Bernardini 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Marin Kukoc 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Camryn Crocker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Dau Jok 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cameron Gunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brooks * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 3 12 20 -
J. Golden * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 13 17 -
G. Maldunas * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 1 7 19 -
D. Rufful * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 10 -
T. Melville * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 11 13 -
R.J. Griffin 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 0 6 -
J. Trotter 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
M. LaBove 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
K. Crecco 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. McKearney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter