Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -18 (62-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 35 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Garrett | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Bland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Peters * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -11 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 36 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Patrick Miller * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Chris Conner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tashon Fredrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bawa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter