Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Josh Castellanos * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kelvin Parker * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Danny Thompson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Raven Barber | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Chad Holley | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacolby Wells | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Kenny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Oliver Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Vinales * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Robby Ptacek * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Ken Horton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 63 | - |
| Malcolm McMillan * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joe Efese | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| David Simmons | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| De'Angelo Speech | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adonis Burbage | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #57417 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Player #53022 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter