Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | -5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gbinije | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 37 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 21 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard James * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Michael Snaer * | 30 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Loucks * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ian Miller | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Okaro White | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter