Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marks * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Hanstad * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| T. Nichols * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Buckner * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Wiley | 23 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| W. Perryman | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Watkins | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Crayton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Moser * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 22 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| R. Smith | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter