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Wichita State Shockers 68
@
Illinois State Redbirds 55
2012-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - ✓
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✓ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% - ✓
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% - ✓

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 37 3-12 3-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
D. Williams * 33 4-4 2-2 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 11 11 -
J. Ragland * 32 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 14 9 -
G. Stutz * 30 5-15 0-1 2-2 14 1 1 1 4 12 10 -
T. Murry * 17 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 9 8 -
D. Kyles 25 2-5 0-3 1-2 3 3 2 0 2 5 6 -
T. Cotton 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
C. Hall 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. White 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Brown * 34 2-7 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
John Wilkins * 26 4-10 0-1 1-1 8 0 1 1 1 9 8 -
Jon Ekey * 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -1 -
Nic Moore * 22 0-4 0-1 1-2 4 4 2 0 4 1 3 -
Jackie Carmichael * 20 2-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Bryant Allen 31 7-10 3-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 17 9 -
Anthony Cousin 29 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 7 4 -
Jordan Threloff 15 3-3 0-0 1-3 3 0 2 0 0 7 9 -

* = starter