Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 32 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 24 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Houston | 23 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Sanford | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrington | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Harding | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 18 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 18 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Koehn | 11 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Paris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter